Prices rise in Dublin but fall elsewhere in Ireland
Residential property prices in Ireland increased overall by 7.1% in the 12 months to April 2016 and were up by 0.3% month on month, the latest official figures show.
This compares with no change in March and an increase of 0.6% recorded in April of last year, according to the data from the Central Statistics Office (CSO), and the market is still open to some volatility with prices rising in Dublin but falling elsewhere.
In Dublin residential property prices increased by 1.6% in April and were 4.6% higher than a year ago. Dublin house prices increased by 1.9% in the month and were 5% higher compared to a year earlier.
The data also shows that Dublin apartment prices were 1.1% higher when compared with the same month of 2015. However, a CSO spokesman said it should be noted that the sub-indices for apartments are based on low volumes of observed transactions and consequently suffer from greater volatility than other series.
The price of residential properties in the rest of Ireland decreased by 0.6% in April compared with an increase of 0.3% in April of last year. Prices were 9.5% higher than in April 2015.
It means that house prices in Dublin are 33.1% lower than at their highest level in early 2007 while apartments in Dublin are 41.5% lower than they were in February 2007 while overall prices in Dublin are 35.2% lower than at their highest level in February 2007.
“The price of residential properties in the rest of Ireland is 35.8% lower than their highest level in September 2007. Overall, the national index is 33.3% lower than its highest level in 2007,” reported by propertywire.
John McCartney, director of research at Savills, pointed out that price growth in Dublin has accelerated steadily over the first four months of the year, as predicted by the firm.
‘Price growth slowed in Dublin last year as tighter mortgage lending forced people into renting. However, this slowdown was always going to be temporary. The shift to renting has forced up rents, attracting investors who are now scrapping to buy properties and driving up prices. As this continues the Dublin market may become increasingly like London with expensive properties, many of which are owned by investors,’ he explained.
He said that with tighter mortgage lending introduced in February 2015, many people were priced out of the Dublin market and bought properties in Wicklow, Meath and Kildare. This drove strong price increases in those counties last year, but he added that this has diminished their attractiveness, and increasingly, families are weighing up the cost savings against the longer commute and choosing to stay renting until they can assemble the deposit to buy in Dublin.
Looking ahead, Savills says Dublin house price inflation will heat-up further in the coming months. ‘The only thing preventing stronger inflation in today’s figures was the strong growth recorded 12 months ago. However, prices slowed sharply from last May, meaning that next month’s figures will be compared to a much weaker base. This will almost certainly result in faster house price inflation next month,’ McCartney concluded.