Rising coal imports to lead to higher power tariffs
Increasing coal import by power plants to compensate for supply shortages by Coal India (CIL) would lead to a rise in electricity tariffs, analysts said.
Absorbing higher imported fuel costs by electricity distribution companies (discoms), instead of raising tariffs, would add to losses of such state-owned entities, a recent note from SBICAP Securities noted.
Reining in costs of electricity generation at state-owned power plants was a major factor which enabled discoms under the UDAY to halve their financial losses to Rs 17,352 crore in FY18.
Power plants which blend domestic and imported coal to increase efficiency imported 3.6 MT of coal in the first two months of FY19, which is 39% more than the same period in FY18. The development comes at a time when global coal prices have gone up by more than 23% CAGR from FY16 to about $100/tonne.
Research firm India Ratings estimates that if there is a 6-7% rise in electricity demand, imported coal needs to increase to 62 million tonne (MT) in FY19 from 56 MT, even if coal availability to the power sector increases by the standard 4% rate.